Omicron: when will it peak?

TL;DR: It hasn’t, yet. Expect Omicron to peak some time mid to late January. Severity looks lower, but we don’t know how much. South Africa is probably not a good predictor for the US, but the UK probably is. Here is an article by Dr. Jeffrey Shaman, an epidemiologist at Columbia University. Basically: what he… Continue reading Omicron: when will it peak?

How I’m looking at Omicron

Omicron: here’s the data I’m looking at. I’m posting this just so everyone can see how I’m looking at cases and hospitalizations and trying to figure out how bad Omicron is. When checking hospitalizations, the important thing is not how COVID is spreading *today*, but how it was spreading about 10 days ago.10 is a… Continue reading How I’m looking at Omicron

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